Vanguard’s Top Strategists Forecast a Decade of More Modest Returns

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Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley and the firm’s top strategists have offered investors a lackluster stock market forecast for the next decade, writes Erin Arvedlund for The Philadelphia Inquirer.

They warned investors that they should expect to see far more modest returns this year and over the coming decade, while also giving a guarded but positive outlook on the global economic recovery.

The Vanguard panel said investors should expect two to four percent U.S. equity market returns annually.

That is significantly under last year, when “we had a return in the S&P 500 of close to 28 percent,” said Vanguard chief investment officer Greg Davis.

“Those are not sustainable returns,” he said. “We were fortunate in terms of what the equity markets produced for the last decade. It is unlikely that we will see the same type of returns going forward.”

The investment giant also expects to see inflation moderate over the next few years and go back down to the 1.5 percent to 2.5 percent range from its current seven percent.

Read more about the stock market forecast in The Philadelphia Inquirer.

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